The art of being an expert



The Lacombe percent rule.

The probability that something good will happen is either 15-25% or 80-90%.

Consequence of Dudenhofer.

In the range from 40 to 60%, a response of 50% can be satisfied.


The sixth law of Kaiman.

If you are trying to predict what impact the macroeconomic policy will have on the economic order of a particular politician, do not believe what he says. Watch what he does.

Weyler’s law.

Nothing is impossible for a person who does not need to do it himself.

The second Weinberg law.

If builders built houses the way programmers write programs, the first flyer would destroy civilization.

The rule of Mars.

An expert is any person not from our city.

Rule of Warren.

The experts should take someone who believes that the work will take a very long time and will be very expensive.

Peters’s recommendation.

Guess the contract three times, and earn the reputation of an expert.

Schroeder’s Law.

Indecision is the basis of flexibility.

Berke rule.

Never put a task whose solution you do not know.

Consequence.

Set tasks for which you have a solution only.

Aphorism of the Matzah.

Conclusion is the place in the text where you are tired of thinking.

Rule of the previous prediction of Fagin.

Unintelligibility is the exact science.

The first rule of history.

History does not repeat itself – historians repeat each other.

The laws of Dunlap’s physics.

1. Fact is a hardened opinion.

2. The facts soften under the influence of high temperatures and pressure.

3. True elastic.

Maxim Merkin.

If you doubt the forecast, say that this trend will take place in the next period.

Khalgren’s decision.

If you are trapped, fog.

Hawkins’ theory of progress.

Progress consists not in replacing the wrong theory with the correct one, but in replacing the wrong theory with the wrong one, but more refined.


Meyer’s Law.

Complicating is simple, simplistic – difficult.

The Law of Hleid.

Solve a difficult task for a lazy employee – he will find an easier way.

Hunt Law.

Any great idea has a flaw that is equal to or greater than the grandeur of this idea.

Hellon’s Razor.

Do not see malice in what is quite understandably stupid.



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